A G20 treacherous for France
Within hours of the opening of the summit of finance ministers of the 20 richest countries on earth – Friday and Saturday in Paris – the negotiations are intensifying behind the scenes. Berlin has made several gestures of good will on Wednesday, indicating the voice of a senior official of the Ministry of Finance argued that Germany "active efforts of the French presidency." The change is noticeable on one of the flagship projects of Paris, which would result, by Saturday evening, a common definition of economic indicators to be shared within the G20.Last November, in Seoul, the U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, had struck the Germans and the Chinese hostile to his proposal to limit to 4% deficit or surplus in the current account.
"Do not stigmatize the poor performers
Berlin now seems more open to this question, suggesting that an agreement could take place during the weekend. According to German government sources, the G20 countries have compiled a list of five indicators to measure imbalances: the current account balance, real exchange rates, budget deficits and debt, foreign reserves and rates of private savings. "It is likely that the ministers approved" list of indicators of economic performance, thermometer, the source said.Berlin considers that these indicators will be "to enjoy in their entirety, and in association with each other. However, Germany remains opposed to what the G20 sets quantitative targets specific to each country. Paris did not intend at first. "Fall first agree on the indicators, then it will be great to spend time each country to the screen, taking care not to stigmatize the poor performers," says Christine Lagarde, French Minister of Economy.
The United States, for now, are more reserved. "It was expected that during the first half of 2011, the IMF identifies those indicators. Then, during the following months, as we proceed to evaluate them … We should, in Paris, have an additional discussion on this topic at the technical level payday loans. But there will be no agreement so early in the year, "says one Washington.Tim Geithner should show booked, also on the question of regulation of commodity markets, the second major project led by France. "We agree to strengthen market mechanisms, but not to supplant the market," says one Treasury recalling that in the Dodd-Frank legislation on financial regulation (adopted last year) are already provisions helping regulators to ensure that markets are not manipulated.
On this question, France will find Brazil on its way. "Brazil is totally opposed to the mechanism of control or regulate the prices of commodities," said Finance Minister Guido Mantega during a press conference.He warned that even these measures could "adversely" by curbing supply.
"Two Camps"
Latest issue of potential conflict, the issue of currency, although it seems less sensitive that a few weeks. "Since the announcement by China of a gradual adjustment of the parity of the yuan, we see a bilateral real appreciation against the dollar at an annual rate equivalent to 10% … So yes, there is progress, but the Chinese currency is always underestimated, "admits one American side.
Japanese Minister of Finance outlined Friday morning, a G20 divided in two. "My impression, based on discussions of the working group, which countries are now divided into two camps," Yoshihiko Noda advanced.He added: "It is not clear that countries agree on all the indicators but I think that agreement on some of them is possible."
China said Friday it is not binding rules, but only indicative. She does not wish to see included levels of exchange and reserves. Beijing agrees to include the public debt and private savings. It is also ready to be included in the trade surplus instead of the current accounts.
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