The warning came Tuesday from the Bank of England (BoE). "I think it would be unwise to say that this risk does not exist", said in an interview to The Times Martin Weale, who joined in July, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank. Martin Weale has raised the risk of rising unemployment, lower housing prices and a new crisis in the banking sector."There could be a sovereign debt crisis or it could be a new crisis of liquidity in the private sector," he said. The economist also said that the BoE's forecast, which assumes 2.8% growth in 2011 in England and 3.2% in 2011, could prove too optimistic.

U.S. housing decline

His remarks have increased the nervousness of the markets, which were significantly Tuesday on the downside. The poor performance of the U.S. housing sector that is highly sensitive for triggering the financial crisis and global recession, have added to tensions.Sales of existing homes, which represent between 90 and 95% of the market in July has been an unprecedented fall of 27.2%, falling to their lowest level since 1995, according to data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

The market suffers from April to the end of the tax credit on buying a first home. Shortly before the publication of these statistics, the chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Charles Evans, acknowledged that the risk of relapse was increased in the last six months but said "it is not the end most probable. " He expressed concern at the continued strength of the recovery, even though the second estimate of GDP in the second quarter, due Friday, should be revised sharply downward to 1.4% against 2.4%.

In Europe, the wave of rigor that will weigh on the recovery. Even rating agencies are worried.Having sanctioned the debt spiral States, first of Pigs (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain), which has led most states to adopt austerity plans, a study by Moody's published before yesterday stressed the risk posed by these savings measures on growth in the short term and the rating states. These concerns about growth in Europe have prompted the agency to lower its rating on Greece, Portugal, Spain, Ireland and outside the euro area, on Hungary. "We carefully monitor the ways chosen by governments and their potential to generate growth," says the agency remains confident that the marking of France, Germany and Great Britain, even though these notes have weakened since the crisis.

The markets are waiting game: the first estimate of U.S. GDP in the second quarter will indeed be announced this afternoon across the Atlantic.This Friday in Asia as investors remained on the defensive.

Besides GDP, the U.S. will publish the index of consumer sentiment and Chicago PMI.

The interpretation of many important results published before opening is not enough to liven up the coast.

Publication Burst

Alcatel Lucent (8.27% to 2.24 euros) announces revenues of 3.813 billion euros in the second quarter. The group reiterated its outlook for 2010, including an Adjusted operating income of between 1% and 5% of its revenues.

JCDecaux (1.16% to 20.10 euros) on Friday announced a net profit in the first half of 65 million euros.The group anticipates a change in organic revenue for the third quarter less than that of the second with a cash flow of 119 million euros, compared with -1.7 million euros in the first half.

Lafarge (-4.75% to 41.43 euros) has reported a sales increase of 2% to 4.43 billion euros in the second quarter. The company expects a reduction in capital expenditure to less than 1 billion euros in 2011.

EDF (1% to 32.80 euros) announced a net income Group share 1.7 billion euros including a provision for $ 1.1 billion on its North American operations.The group, which should sell its UK electricity networks based on an enterprise value of over 5.5 billion pounds, has announced a delay of two years for his BDU Flamanville.

EADS (2.70% to 18.06 euros) announces a net profit in the first half of 185 million euros and a turnover of 20.3 billion euros.

Schneider Electric (2.14% to 88.25 euros) publishes a turnover of 8.57 billion euros in the first half (+10.5%) of which 4.661 billion (+18.5%) in the second . In an interview with Le Figaro, Jean-Pascal Tricoire, CEO, set an improvement for the second part of the year.

Renault (0.28% to 33.74 euros) issued a revenue increase of 23.1% for the first semester in the same area, to 19.668 billion euros.The constructor returns to the green with profits of 823 million euros.

The reaction of Peugeot (-2.23% to 22.61 euros) will be observed.Also in the automotive industry, Michelin (-1.40% to 58.52 euros) announced a net profit in the first half and said it expects a continued rebound in demand for tires in the second half of the year .

PPR (-0.34% to 102 euros) has announced a net profit after minority interests rose 86.8% to 407 million euros in the first half.

Imerys (+0.27% at 44.59 euros) has reported a net operating income rose sharply to 122 million euros in the first half with a turnover of organic growth of 16%.

Total (1.30% to 38.85 euros) announced adjusted net income for the second quarter of 3 billion euros, up 72%.

CNP Assurances (EUR 15.45 -4.01%) has published a net increase of 8% to 542 million euros and a turnover of 17.697 million euros (+2.4%).

Rhodia (1.14% to 15.93 euros) raised again after its 2010 targets announced Friday results exceeded expectations in the second quarter.

Saint Gobain is optimistic

Saint-Gobain (-2.16% to 32.57 euros) reported a strong rebound in its first half results, while confirming its target of strong growth in operating earnings in 2010.

Capgemini (-1.29% to 35.88 euros) has announced the acquisition of the Swedish IT services Skvader Systems. No financial details were disclosed.

Air Liquide (-0.81% to 85.40 euros) has announced the acquisition of the company Lion Copolymer Geismar American Services.No financial details were disclosed.

Euler Hermes (4.94% to 61.40 euros) has reported net profit more than doubled in the second quarter from the first and said he intended to maintain profitability in a more favorable macroeconomic environment that over the past two years.

Ingenico (5.28% to 19.45 euros) on Thursday posted a net profit increased more than two in the first half thanks to increased transactions in Europe and raised its sales target.

Alten (-0.49% to 22.29 euros) has reported a slight improvement in activity in its sector in the first half. Turnover increased 2.7% to 450.9 million euros over the period.

Flo (-3.7% to 4.43 euros) said that the activity in its restaurants had not yet regained the level that was hers before the crisis, despite the reduction in VAT.The turnover of the group stood in the first half rose 7.6%.

On Friday, the NYSE has ended sharply higher, buoyed by another round of quarterly results from U.S. companies of good quality and were reassured on the results of resistance testing in European banks. The Dow Jones gained 0.99% and the Nasdaq 1.05%. On the whole last week, the Dow Jones gained 3.23% and the Nasdaq rose 4.15%.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro against the dollar adds.At the opening of U.S. markets, it was worth 1.2944 dollars against 1.2906 dollars on Friday night.

Oil prices retreated Monday in the opening exchanges in New York, yielding 86 cents a barrel to 78.12 dollars, while Tropical Storm Bonnie was eventually spared oil facilities in the Gulf of Mexico.

Busy Week Statistics

A busy week on the macroeconomic level. Today sales of new houses in the U.S. rebounded more than expected in June, from 23.6% in May after hitting their lowest level since 1963 at least, but still extremely low, according to figures Official published Monday in Washington.

Another highlight, the U.S. central bank should publish its Beige Book Wednesday on the economic conditions.It will be very guarded while the president of the institution, Ben Bernanke said Wednesday before Congress the slow recovery, with no announcement of new funding in the economy.

On Tuesday, it is the Standard & Poor's / Case Schiller home prices and consumer confidence, which will be followed, before investors only look the next day on orders of durable goods. But it was the day Friday with the first estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) U.S. second quarter is expected this week.This new burst of publications should be followed especially when investors are questioning again on the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.

Publications wait

U.S. companies are still likely to take stock in their accounts this week, including the program six companies forming part of Dow Jones. Tomorrow investors expect such figures CIT and Lockheed Martin and those sitting in the middle of DuPont.

To follow today the title of BP traded on Wall Street. The British press refers to a departure from the CEO of BP, before tomorrow, the date of publication of interim results of the oil giant.

IBM: The European Commission has opened two investigations into the group.It suspects the group of computer abuse of dominant position on the markets for servers.

Always on the side of values, General Electric said Friday its increased dividend of 20%, the quarterly dividend from 10 cents to 12 cents. GE also announced a resumption of its share repurchase programs. He had stopped this practice in September 2008. The board gave its approval for an additional $ 11.6 billion. "GE hopes to finish the year with $ 25 billion in cash, including proceeds from the sale of a majority stake in its subsidiary NBC Universal to Comcast" say the analysts at Aurel BGC.Some of this money will be used to buy three billion dollars in preferred shares that the group has sold to the holding company Berkshire Hathaway of Warren Buffett in October 2008.

Also note Friday night, the FDIC, the federal agency whose primary responsibility is to guarantee bank deposits, announced the bankruptcy of six new American banks, bringing to 102 the number of closing establishments since the beginning of year. These six failures will cost about 394 million dollars to its compensation fund the FDIC.

FedEx climbed 4.25% to 82.32 dollars while the group has raised its earnings forecast for the current year. The U.S. giant now aims Messaging earnings per share of between 1.05 and $ 1.25.

Genzyme flies from 5.45% to 65.93 dollars. The group would be the target of several pharmaceutical companies.Sanofi-aventis is about to blow.

A complaint against X for abuse of corporate assets has been filed with the request, a shareholder of L'Oreal by Frederik-Karel Canoy Me, a lawyer specializing in the defense of such shareholders harmed by embezzlement.

Mayor Francis Banier won in 2002 "contract of 405,000 euros per year for 10 years, which plans to pay the photographer for" fashion tips and artistic sensibility "and a major exhibition of works by year the person, said the radio."It was a bounty, a favor" and "it is estimated that this contract has been only partially fulfilled" by the close of Liliane Bettencourt, Mr. Canoy said. He added: Francois-Marie Banier "would not have known Ms. Bettencourt, he would not have benefited from this contract."

"Life insurance contracts, checks, Master paintings"

Francois-Marie Banier is convenient for several years by Liliane Bettencourt, met in 1969. According to the photographer and the millionaire, complicity during the course sits on a convergence of temperaments cash advance no fax. But after the daughter of a rich heiress, Françoise Bettencourt Meyers, which has itself filed a complaint against the photographer for "abuse of weakness" financial interests are at stake

Françoise Bettencourt Meyers estimates that the photographer of the stars would have been back almost one billion euros in donations – including life insurance contracts, checks, master paintings – in the 1990s and 2000s, taking advantage of the psychological fragility of the octogenarian. A thesis denied by the person, which ensures that these gifts were made to him by a "brilliant woman and free."

The photographer should be tried in this case in early July by the 15th Criminal Chamber of the Court of Nanterre.But his trial has been postponed indefinitely because of the twists arising from the disclosure of conversations between plays Liliane Bettencourt and her family.

ALSO READ:

"The multiple investigations into the matter Woerth-Bettencourt

"SPECIAL CASE – Minutes Bettencourt, a family affair

"The generous donations of Liliane Bettencourt

"CHRONOLOGY – Bettencourt family of the battle in political affairs

The boss of the RATP is excited about the upturn looming gently. In the first five months of the year, the group has recorded 30 million more trips compared to 2009."We feel a tremor on commuting," said Pierre Mongin, which emphasizes a return to positive growth for the RER, barometers of activity (+0.7% -4% against a year ago).

Take a major international

Another ambitious project: the development of Greater Paris. Connect the belt of small suburbs of Paris will require a massive investment of between 20 and 25 billion euros, mainly from local authorities. According to Peter Mangin, the project must be completed in order to "avoid economic decline" in Europe and "be able to create an endogenous growth".

Beyond France and Europe, these investments have the ambition to "bring the RATP in the top 5 worldwide transport companies," said the chief executive of the company.To do this, other acquisitions, following those of certain assets Transdev and Veolia, are possible.

RATP is a turnover of 6.2 billion euros in 2015 against 4.2 billion in 2009. Nearly 25% of these revenues should be generated by subsidiaries outside the Ile-de-France. "The strategic differentiation from our competitors lies in our engineering capabilities. This knowledge gives us advantages comparable to those of EDF Energy, "warns Pierre Mongin.

ALSO READ:

The RATP bus will commission 1400

The Irish group has yet taken a cold snap in stating that its sales in 2010 would be affected more severely than expected by the consequences of fiscal consolidation in the euro area and slowing the pace of recovery in USA.

The news did not surprise analysts."The fiscal crisis has not improved the situation of the sector because governments are pushing the major works to reduce the growing deficit," said Harry Sebag, an analyst at Saxo Bank. The financial crisis has also hit the industry particularly since the latter is highly dependent on the banks with which it finances a large majority of buildings.

The figures for real estate in the U.S. are also very revealing. In June, there were only 300,000 new home sales on a new year while the consensus was expecting about 424,000 sales.

Outlook not reassuring

For the future, the industry should be very cautious. "We are in a context of sluggish growth and unemployment prevails with a high public and private debt.Certainly the infrastructure programs of national recovery plans may lead us to believe a recovery in the sector, however, this growth drivers must be qualified with the recently introduced austerity policies, "said Harry Sebag. For example, France had planned to inject four billion euros in the construction sector in 2009. But only 2.5 billion have been invested and a slowdown in public works is possible for the remaining 1.5 billion.

"Businesses have already significantly impacted margins and cut prices to gain market share over the weaker euro and higher commodity prices, driven by demand from emerging economies, clouding the outlook for the sector , "says the analyst.

There is no question of a collapse."The activity is still declining, but remained stable for the rest of the year is possible if the growth recovery by 2011," warns Harry Sebag.

ALSO READ:

"Lafarge publishes quarterly mixed

The German construction industry more efficient than the French

"No recovery in construction before 2012

To start, the company leased two Boeing 767 with U.S. lessor International Lease Finance Corporation. The first aircraft, currently in Miami, should be delivered in Paris on July 15, the second in mid-August. According to our information, Oxygen will be a scheduled airline flights to Africa, but will not provide charter flights.The aircraft will be equipped with an economy class and business class to attract "customers high contribution," including executives of oil companies.

Five destinations are planned initially: Luanda (Angola), Abidjan (Côte d'Ivoire), Malabo (Equatorial Guinea), Conakry (Guinea) and Bamako (Mali). The company has obtained traffic rights to fly to these cities. She currently negotiate with Burkina Faso Ouagadougou to serve. By opening these destinations, Oxygen, which was established with a contribution of 25 million euros of "private European investors," said a source close to the case, addresses the most profitable destinations of Air France network. "The national airline is in a quasi-monopoly on Africa, says an analyst.Ticket prices are high due to a clientele of executives and individuals willing to pay the price for travel with Air France rather than African company. "

Lufhansa gaining momentum

Former executive of Airports of Paris, the founder of Oxygen, Steve Bokhobza, was chief of visits to several airlines. According to one of his collaborators, his intention is to recover the former Air France customers who now travel to Africa via the hubs of Lufthansa Group. The German competitor is indeed in full rise on the continent, where it already boasts so many destinations that Air France."As Lufthansa, Oxygen will offer prices 20% lower than those of Air France, said a close case, but will be direct flights from Paris." Eventually, the young company aims to operate four widebody to Africa and a dozen small devices in order to develop regional transport.

ALSO READ:

"Air France knocked on his network's most profitable

"Lufthansa tackles turf African Air France

"Air France would build on 4390 departures by 2013

Optimism returns on oil markets. On Thursday, oil prices have ended on a 4% rise to 74.55 dollars in New York, gaining 8% in two sessions. The $ 70 threshold was crossed on the rise Monday and picked up the rebound Wednesday. That day, Brent took $ 2.15 (3.09%) to 71.70 dollars, ending a run of nine consecutive sessions of declines.

"The market has received a good dose of optimism," said Phil Flynn of PFG Best Research. "It was time, prices had fallen by 87-65 dollars." For Ellis Eckland, an independent analyst, "it is a rebound in the wake of the stock markets. People are more optimistic about the fact that the euro will not collapse and less frightened about the economy. " Another factor supporting prices: the six-month extension of the moratorium on offshore oil drilling decided by Barack Obama."The United States derive a third of their crude production offshore drilling if we do drill more, this production may simply disappear", said Ellis Eckland.

But the week was also marked by a one-time relapse occurred below 70 dollars Tuesday. Investors, troubled by geopolitical tensions between the two Koreas, suffered a renewed concerns about the pace of global recovery.

If the courts now seem to settle in the range of 70-75 dollars, the volatility is always present. Especially as the U.S. Agency for Energy Information (EIA) announced that crude oil reserves rose 2.4 million barrels to 365.1 million, exceeding their year's level last at the same time.Economists on average had expected an increase of 200,000 barrels only.

Tuesday, Kuwaiti Oil Minister Sheikh Ahmad Abdullah al-Sabah, said he was "not yet" worried by the decline in crude prices. If no emergency meeting of OPEC is scheduled, the oraganisation plans to "call for more respect of production quotas.

Note that oil prices have tumbled more than 20% since the beginning of the month.

Base metals: purchases restart

Prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) have started to increase last week on the basis of a wave of buying on the cheap. The increase was frankly started Thursday, following the easing of world stock markets after China denied its intention to reduce the share of its assets in euros.The euro strengthened against the dollar, making them more attractive purchases of raw materials with the U.S. currency.

Copper prices have soared to 7,043 dollars per tonne on Friday, a level last seen two weeks. The aluminum prices reached 2,086 dollars per tonne on Friday, their highest in two weeks. Lead, nickel and zinc gained respectively 0.6%, 1.8% and 3.4% payday loans online.

However, caution remains the watchword. The price volatility is high as evidenced by the slowing of the rebound Friday after the publication of consumer spending by American households down in April after six consecutive months of increases. Overproduction of copper in Chile and increased reserves of aluminum could also disrupt markets.

Precious metals: the gold recovery

Fell from its pedestal last week, gold has recovered to historical levels last week in favor of a new wave of market stress in midweek. Alarmed by the risks in the euro area, investors have once again flocked to the safe haven, pushing prices up to U.S. $ 1218.47 on Thursday, not far from the record of U.S. $ 1249.40 May 14 On the London Bullion Market, an ounce of gold finished at 1207.50 dollars at auction Friday night, cons 1179.75 dollars the previous Friday.

And the prospects of rising oil prices are good for the yellow metal. According to the World Gold Council (BMC), consumption should be taken this year by the expansion of the jewelry in China and India.

The ounce of silver has followed the movement of gold, finishing at 18.53 dollars Friday, against 17.72 dollars last Friday.The platinum group metals have also returned to form more than the football World Cup in South Africa could lead to tensions on the country's electricity supply. A situation that could force the mining groups to reduce their production. The ounce of platinum finished at 1555 dollars per ounce of palladium finished at 471 dollars against 419 dollars a week earlier.

Corn and soybeans climbed in Chicago

The corn and soybean prices rose Thursday on the Chicago futures market, driven by the exchanges and oil. More broadly, the decline of the dollar against the euro makes U.S. production more attractive for export.A bushel of corn ends at $ 3.60 (1.12%) and soybeans to close an $ 9.38 per bushel (0.48%).

Cocoa prices have in turn touched a new high in London this week, boosted by the prospect of tight supplies and growing global demand. Thursday, cocoa for July delivery climbed to 2,451 pounds in London, prices not seen for 32 years, while the same term contract in New York reached 3018 dollars.

Sugar, for its part failed to continue its rebound from the previous week. On Liffe in London, a tonne of white sugar for August delivery was worth 475.80 pounds on Friday. On the NYBOT U.S. a pound of raw sugar for July delivery was worth 14.83 cents.

ALSO READ:

"Weekly Review of May 17: Oil dropped below $ 65

One week test market

"Speculation: France will investigate

The CAC 40 was indeed opened down 0.95% at 3696 points.

Since the beginning of the week, the CAC 40, which replaced the European aid plan of 750 billion euros announced in the night from Sunday to Monday. Last week, the CAC 40 index had fallen more than 11%.

Thursday evening, the benchmark index of Paris has stood still while the rest of Europe has evolved disparate: Spanish IBEX fell 1.11%, when folded BEL 20 0.22% .While the Dax in Frankfurt took 1.1% and the FTSE in London, 0.93%.

This Friday, the IBEX was down 0.87% at 9890 points, BEL 20, 0.86%, to 2513 points, the DAX, 0.37%, to 6228 points and the Footsie 0.48 % at 5407 points.

The IMF: a report on public finances G20

Today, Europe is free of major statistical. In contrast, the United States, the indices continue to rain.Are scheduled for this afternoon publication of retail sales in April, very controlled, industrial production for the same month – also highly regarded – the index of confidence from the University of Michigan for the month of May – for a forecast of economic health – and stocks and sales companies in March.

Other important events this Friday, the IMF will publish its report at 5:01 p.m. on the budget deficit and public debt of the G20.

EADS net profit down 39%

The giant European aerospace firm EADS said Friday a 39% drop in net profit to 103 million euros. The A380 still weighs heavily on the performance of EADS payday loans with no fax. The group has however confirmed its objectives for the year.Actions grappillent 0.13%, to 15.5 euros, but the market is bearish.

EADS is part of only four values in the green in early trade, with Danone (+0.36% to EUR 44), Sanofi-aventis (+0.3% to 51.9 euros) and Lafarge ( 0.02%, to 50.9 euros).

For this Friday, it is the only publication of results and no presentation of turnover is expected.

The battered banking

Credit Agricole already showered yesterday – the shares are down 3.56% at the close Thursday night (the largest drop in the CAC 40) – is still the red lantern on Friday of the index, with a decline of 2.58 %, to 10 euros.

The bank posted earnings of 470 million euros in the first quarter when his rival Societe Generale (-2.5% to 37.6 euros, the second largest drop in the CAC 40) and BNP Paribas (-1.66% , to 50.9 euros) have respectively reached profits of more than 1 billion euros and 2.3 billion in the first quarter of 2010.

Furthermore, the Attorney General of New York has opened an investigation into eight banks, including Credit Agricole, to determine if they had provided misleading information about their mortgages before the subprime crisis, "according to The New York Times.

In turn, Natixis lost 3.15%, to 3.84 euros and signs the worst performance of the SBF 120.

EDF side, the series on electricity prices is not over. Priced at 42 euros per MWh, the price increases would be 11.4% in 2011 and 3.5% per year between 2011 and 2025, according to the Commission for Energy Regulation (CER).Figures disputed by EDF. The government – which sets prices for electricity – and EDF belie such increases. The EDF shares were down 0.88%, to 38 euros.