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In a session marked by a new series of major publications and the summit in Brussels, the CAC 40 should navigate the uncertainty Thursday. On Wednesday, the index in Paris gained 0.63% to 3635 points.

On the macroeconomic front, investors will listen closely to the Extraordinary Summit of Heads of State and Governments of the European Union devoted to the economic crisis and to preserve the European social model. Germany could announce his signing on backup plan for Greece.

Furthermore, INSEE releases its survey of investment in the industry for the month of January.By late morning, the banks have an appointment with the Minister of Economy and Finance, Christine Lagarde, to discuss the credit.

In the United States, figures are expected in retail sales for the month of January, weeks claimed unemployment, inventories and business sales for the month of December.

New series of publciations

After the publication of ArcelorMittal, PSA, Sanofi Aventis and Nexans, a new series is scheduled for Thursday morning: Alcatel-Lucent, Total, EDF, Danone, Renault or Dassault Systems .M6 publish after-hours trade.

Alcatel-Lucent posted a net loss of 524 million euros in 2009 and 2009 sales down 10.8% to 15.1 billion euros.

France Telecom announced it would invest two billion euros in a fiber optic network by 2015 in densely populated areas of France by 2015, thus removing the freeze on spending in this area.

Air France-KLM reported a net loss of 295 million euros in Q3 2009-2010. The operating loss in Q3 reached 245 million and the company expects an operating loss similar to T4.

Property Walls said he expected a new stability of its recurring net profit in 2010 and expected to maintain a dividend to 1.40 euros.

The group acting CRITT announced a decrease of 7.3% of sales in Q4 2009 to 298 million euros.

A shock exceptional in its scope but not its duration. Coface, which examines the risks of outstanding companies, announced Monday at a symposium on the country risk, the end of the credit crisis. While recalling the unprecedented nature of this recession, the worst post-war related to the bankruptcy of Lehman. Between its 2007 peak and the lowest point in 2009, the global economy fell by 6.1 points, two times the oil crisis of the 1980s or the collapse of the dotcom bubble.

"There is a strong correlation between the curve of defaults and that of economic growth, said President Francois David. For six months we see an improvement in creditworthiness of companies. "After rising 19% in the first half of 2009, the total payment incidents has decreased by 40% over the last six months.With this improvement, Coface has revised upwards its ratings, while it had conducted several waves of decommissioning throughout the crisis. Note that unlike traditional agencies, which follow the sovereign debt, the insurance company is only interested in credit risk business. The improvement is true for most industrialized countries. The A2 rating of the United States is no longer under negative watch while France, Germany and Japan, in particular, came under positive watch.

Household debt

But if the bulk of the storm passed, many clouds darken the sky of the recovery. It is primarily the weakness of private demand, which remains constrained by the debt ratio and savings rates, and deterioration of the labor market."The key to growth lies in the particular behavior of the American consumer, accounting for 18% of global GDP," notes Francois David.

Another black spot, the rate of industrial capacity utilization remains limited, especially slowing business investment. "The recovery in 2010 will depend even public spending," says the chief economist at Coface, Yves Zlotowski. With the risk of digging a little more deficits. The situation is particularly alarming for the "pigs" – Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain – where the debt has increased the most between 2007 and 2011. "The markets could force them to implement budget cuts, which contribute more to the recession," said Yves Zlotowski. The economist is also concerned about overheating in China and the rebound of stock markets, including commodities, stronger and faster than the real economy.Coface expects global growth in 2010 of 2.7%, driven by emerging markets (5.3%) against 1.4% for developed countries.

The consumption of manufactured goods rose more households in November. After a 1% increase in October, the index has shown quasi-stable -0, 1%, according to figures from INSEE.

This figure was supported, as in previous months, by buying cars in significant increase of 4.2% in line with the trend observed since August. "The household benefit last months of premium breaks down before his scheduled first next January, said Insee.

In contrast, spending on equipment housing slows markedly, to 0.2%, against 2.1% in October. "If they keep their spending in electrical and electronic households have reduced their spending on furniture," said INSEE.

The week's floating balances authorized in November did not save the textiles and leather. Purchases fell 1.8% in November, two months after dynamic (+2.4% in October and 3% in September).

In 2009, INSEE expects a limited increase in consumption of 0.7%, after 0.9% in 2008. Consumption is the traditional engine of French growth and growing at a rate of 2 to 2.5% until 2007.