Archive for the ‘opinions’ Category

The Paris Bourse limits losses

August 19, 2011 - 6:12 pm Comments Off

The concern again lead the Paris Bourse. The CAC 40 was launched on the day down 0.37% to 3064.49 points. But around 9:40, the fall has accelerated: the Paris index of 3.44% to unscrew 2970.13 points, releasing the threshold of 3000 points. The CAC has, however, resumed in the afternoon around 16:30 it is in the green briefly before returning to equilibrium, yielding 0.10% at 3072.88 points. London erases even his losses: the FTSE-100 gained 0.22%. In Frankfurt, the Dax lost no more than 0.39%. Madrid still loose 1.38%, Milan were down 0.53% and 0.57% in Zurich. Across the Atlantic, Wall Street returns to the green: the Dow Jones gained 0.29% and the Nasdaq 0.93%.

Operators are struggling to recover from their emotions after the new European stock markets plummeting and U.S. Thursday. This morning, Asian stock market sent negative signals with indices in very sharp drop.This bad mood due to a surge in concern about the state of the global economy, reinforced by poor indicators of the Atlantic. Bad index measuring the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing activity in the region, lower sales of existing homes in July, new jobless claims rising again during the second week of August … All signs of the apparent stagnation of growth in the United States.

Concerns about U.S. growth fears add to the debt crisis in Europe, European banks are the first to bear the brunt. In its Thursday edition, The Wall Street Journal reported on fears the U.S. Federal Reserve on the liquidity of European banks.And for the first time since February, the European Central Bank (ECB) has given a major dollar loan to a European bank, whose identity was not revealed. An action that reinforces doubts about the ability of banks to refinance.

Morgan Stanley has added his two cents to panic, explaining that she perceived the United States and Europe as "dangerously close to recession." The President of the European Union, Herman van Rompuy, tried Thursday to calm the mind by ensuring that there was "no new recession" in sight. And this morning, Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping has reaffirmed that the U.S. economy was "resilient". In vain.

"The bears are back"

"The bears (pessimistic players, ie) are back in force that night, after disappointing U.S. economic indicators and renewed fears about the stability of European banks, which prompted investors to push the button sales," said Ben Potter, an analyst at IG Markets in Australia. "There seems to be getting ready for a weekend very ugly, with a market dominated once again by fear and panic," he added.

Gold reached a new record Friday morning in Asia, to 1,837.50 dollars per ounce, due to the concern. And oil, which fell 6% in New York yesterday, continues to fall in morning trading.A barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery lost 1.69 dollars to 80.69 dollars while that of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery gave 68 cents to 106.31 dollars.

No significant indicator that could reverse the trend, are expected on Friday.

Values ​​to follow

The banking sector

European financial stocks, which had been rolled by a renewed tensions in the interbank market and concerns about the short-term refinancing of the banks were still under attack this morning.BNP Paribas (-3.01% to 33.18 euros), Natixis (0.97% to 2.924 euros), Credit Agricole (-0.40% to 6.203 euros), Societe Generale (-0.46% at 21 , 50 euros) and AXA (-1.42% to 10.405 euros), however, have erased some of their losses in the afternoon.

Danone: -2.21% to 45.835 euros

Nestlé, the group became a favorite activity for infant formula, Wyeth, Pfizer subsidiary, valued at approximately ten billion dollars (seven billion euros), officials said a source familiar with the bank.

Technip: -0.98% to 59.38 euros

The French engineering group said it had received a letter of intent on the part of the American oil company Anadarko for the construction of an offshore platform for the Gulf of Mexico.

Euro: Aubry denounced the "smoking out"

August 17, 2011 - 9:52 pm Comments Off

Marine Le Pen responded first by issuing a press release immediately after the press conference of Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel. For the president of the National Front, the Franco-German summit had one objective: "to organize the sharing of the burden of debt" in deciding "how much further tens of billions of euros in France and Germany will contribute to bail out countries hit by the euro. " "It's irresponsible," she said, denouncing the "ideation" Sarkozy's "rush to the euro area as federalism." The president of FN requires a "top of the eurozone finally useful for people" to "take note of the end of the euro".

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, chairman of the Left Party, also expressed his disapproval."Instead of concrete measures to protect the people of the assault Markets, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel persist without imagination, to comply with the requirements of finance," said the former senator.

On the contrary, Jean-Francois Cope, secretary general of the UMP, was "glad" that Sarkozy and Merkel have "reiterated the importance of adopting a" golden rule "on the whole budget Member States of the euro area ".

I-TV, Martine Aubry denounced the "smoking out of communication" by Nicolas Sarkozy on the "golden rule" that France and Germany proposed to be entered in the constitutions of 17 countries in the euro area. It is "a vague rule that does not solve anything," said the Socialist candidate in the primary by confirming that the PS did not vote when the Congress was convened."The president has made reforms that are financed and saddled deficits," said Aubry.

Unusually, the side of the Rue de Solferino issued a statement co-signed by Harlem Désir, near Martine Aubry and Michel Sapin, close to François Hollande. Together, they denounced "a summit of the powerless." "Unable to propose an ambitious joint response against speculation and recession, the Conservatives do not know French and German co-ordinate the restraint they impose on the peoples of Europe," say the two socialist, criticizing the ads "waves" on Tax on financial transactions no fax payday loans.

Asked on Europe 1 on Wednesday morning, François Hollande regretted his part that France has given up on the issue of eurobonds in the meeting between Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel on Tuesday.The member for Corrèze, Nicolas Sarkozy has given on this point against Angela Merkel, Germany is opposed to this economic instrument. "Nicolas Sarkozy has lost his hat" on this issue, he said. "We have a head, but he (Nicolas Sarkozy) has no arms."

Former Minister of Economy and Finance Laurent Fabius is "disappointed" by the end of the Franco-German summit. "The president has set on the Eurobonds. This is a major fault to be a serious consequence," the socialist RTL. "If the goal was to show that there is a pilot in the plane is missing," said he. "The French are not fools. Nicolas Sarkozy deficit record holder but he wants to impose the golden rule after 2012. It's like saying that the arsonist wanted to be fire chief." "What is lacking also in yesterday's meeting is a support for growth.We must not only manage budgets seriously, "he said.

As the president of the Radical Party, Jean-Louis Borloo, he "welcomes the Franco-German joint decision to set up as soon as possible" this tax. He saw a "critical point" in recalling that he had sent Monday to Angela Merkel an open letter calling for its introduction.

If Marielle de Sarnez, Vice President of the Democratic Movement, said that the proposals of France and Germany will "in the right direction," it remains "cautious as accumulated, over time, statements and announcements on these major issues. " She adds that "it will not solve the problems of France who value their continued economic weakness and concern. It's good on this front where the battles will engage key. "

New homes: Sales down but prices rise

August 9, 2011 - 11:56 am Comments Off

The new housing market has definitely signs of weakness. The Federation of developers (FPI) released on Monday of new home sales down 19% in the first half of 2011 compared to the same period of 2010. "It's a market downturn. We are concerned whether the second quarter marked a slight slowdown in the decline (-17%) compared to first quarter (-21%), "responded the president on Monday of the REIT Marc Pigeon.

In addition to a base effect related to a strong rebound in sales in 2009 and 2010, this figure reflects the impact of the behavior of investors in the new home market. In 2009 and 2010, they accounted for almost two thirds of acquirers. But the reform of the Scellier, effective in 2011, and rising interest rates since the fall of 2010, helping to discourage this type of buyers.Between the first half of 2011 and first half 2010, sales to investors and have collapsed by 32%.

Meanwhile, the new interest-free loan, the "PTZ +", is still struggling to convince individuals to invest in the new. Over 70% of loans granted by the state were to purchase an old property, say the developers. Finally, sales "in the accession", down 1% in the first half of 2011, therefore not enough to offset falling sales to investors.

Especially as the prices of new homes continue to rise, contributing to a creditworthy buyers months. Despite lower demand and increased supply, prices jump by 9.7% year over year. The increase was more pronounced as ever in the Ile-de-France, due to the scarcity of land (12.5% ​​yoy, against 6.4 in the rest of France).One reason for this paradox lies in the spread of new buildings low consumption, more expensive but higher quality analysis of IPF cash till payday.

Safe haven

This change in the new home market still contrasts sharply with the market of the former. While the lawyers emphasized in July attenuation of the increase in sales in the first quarter, after a very dynamic year 2010. Ile-de-France in particular, the number of homes sold decreased by 4% in the first quarter of 2011 compared to the same period of 2010. A decrease due to the scarcity of goods for sale in Paris, as well as a relative lull after the peak sales in late 2010. But on the whole of France, sales volumes progressed further by 23% in March 2011 over a year.

Despite rising real estate rates, which crowd out some buyers, prices remain steady increase otherwise.In one year, the apartments are in price by 10.5% and 7.8% of the houses, according to latest figures published by notaries in France. But these increases mask contrasting trends. If the prices of apartments in Paris are more than 20%, 21 counties recorded lower prices in one year, find notaries.

Overall, however, the real estate market should remain strong this year. "The fundamentals of the French market are safe," said Olivier Eluère, an economist at Credit Agricole. The granting of credit is not excessive, the presence of property dealers in the market not significant, while the supply of housing remains structurally inadequate in some areas. The real estate market should furthermore continue to benefit from a safe-haven status in an uncertain economy.Devices such as government or Scellier + PTZ can also support the request. Lower prices should not be generalized profile before long.

The CAC 40 is expected to rebound sharply

August 4, 2011 - 6:08 pm Comments Off

And if the Paris Stock Exchange on Thursday ended its eight consecutive sessions of decline that have lost more than 10%? The rebound on Wall Street Wednesday night and Tokyo this morning – although the latter is mainly due to the weakening of the yen against the dollar and the euro – seem to bode well for the Cac 40.According to analysts' estimates, could open the Cac 40 up 1.2%.

On Wednesday, the Cac 40 dropped 1.93% to 3454.94 points, after the yield spreads between bonds to ten years Spanish and Italian have widened compared to German bonds.

Financial markets, however, could play the card of caution pending the meeting of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank (13.45), which is expected to announce its continued interest rate to 1.50% but especially before the publication of weekly claims for unemployment benefits in the United States (1430), on the eve of the official figures on Friday.

On the corporate side, two companies released this morning:

Veolia Environnement, which warned last Friday that it would not achieve its goals for this year, released on Thursday a net loss of 67.2 million euros in the first half, weighed down by exceptional asset write-downs 800 million euros.The world leader in environmental services will focus its activities "in less than 40 countries in 2013 against 77 today."

However, Axa reported first half net profit more than quadrupled to 3.99 billion ers (324%), driven by gains on sale and very little affected by provisions related to the support plan to Greece.

Vinci said Wednesday QDVC, its joint venture with Qatari fund, won a contract for 374 million euros for a metro project for a new town being built in Qatar.

Vilmorin has confirmed its margin target of 2010-2011 by announcing an increase of 12.1% of its turnover for the year, thanks to the vegetable business, along with the acquisition of assets and maize seed and sorghum Brasmilho of Brazilian society.

Hermès responded Wednesday to the Association of Defence of Minority Shareholders (Adam), who asked why the luxury group spent so much money to buy back its own shares. "Share repurchases are intended to cover the programs free shares to employees," said a spokeswoman for Hermes.

Cegedim dropped its goal of increasing revenue for 2011 but remains confident in its ability to generate an EBIT close in absolute value, that of 2010. The group also announced Wednesday for the second quarter of 2011, a consolidated turnover of 247.1 million euros (+1.6% as reported and 0.1% organic).

Dexia and Natixis will publish their second quarter results after market close.

Moody's threatens to degrade Spain

July 30, 2011 - 11:24 am Comments Off

It's time for Spain to be in the sights of Moody's. The agency placed the credit rating of the country under surveillance for any reduction, said a statement issued Friday, indicating a downward revision of the country's Aa2 rating one notch lower. The agency believes that the difficulties of Madrid to borrow at an acceptable rate will escalate following the second plan the rescue of Greece, who "made history" involving the private sector and a marked increased risk for investors bondholders fragile in the euro area.

The rating agency also advanced a weak growth of Spain and fiscal slippages in some areas of the country, adding that it would present risks, burdens on efforts to reduce deficits, which have recently been undertaken by Madrid .

Highlighting the challenges that the Spanish government will face for fiscal consolidation and improving the fiscal situation of the Spanish provinces, Moody's has given the banking regulator Spanish Fondo de Reestructuración Ordenada Bancaria (FROB) a rating Aa2, providing a possible degradation of the latter in the future.

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Half the jobs will be open to foreigners

July 26, 2011 - 1:20 am Comments Off

The reduction of labor migration in France is now effective. After fixing in April the goal of reducing by half the number of work permits granted to foreigners in France, the Ministries of Interior and Labour recently issued a new list of occupations open to non-Europeans. According to Les Echos on Monday, the draft of the new Order, which has been sent to the unions, cut in half the number of job families, open to non-EU nationals. 30, it is expected to rise to 15, said the business daily. It should be noted that the list issued by the Ministry of Labour in 2008 had remained unchanged for three years.

"This is to narrow the list to the most skilled occupations or specific, corresponding to significant needs for labor," which would be impossible to fill short-term workers already present in France, said the e of the General Delegation of employment (DGEFP), which was sent to the unions.

But this list may be adapted as needed in labor specific to each region. Each warden will be allowed to exclude some of the trades listed 15 families, if these jobs are not in power on its territory.

Restrictions in construction and computer

Among the jobs listed on the new list, we find the e-consultancy, management positions in audit and accountancy, engineering positions in information systems, and various trades technicians wood and glass processing payday loans for bad credit.In addition, the areas of chemical production, pharmaceutical and mechanical products always recruit foreign labor.

However, in construction, the positions responsible for education, site managers and supervisors will come out of the list, the sector is recruiting non-EU as for industrial designer jobs. Another area where Claude Gueant decided to impose restrictions on the information technology sector for nationals of non-European features only for experts.

Surprised by the return of the subject after the meeting of National Council for the use of the July 12 trade unions denounce a 'national' approach of the government and are skeptical about its effectiveness."Of the stations mentioned experts, the big groups use internal mobility from their subsidiaries abroad," said Raymond Chauveau (CGT) in an interview with Les Echos.

Reducing the list of occupations open to foreigners "liberate" from 10,000 to 12,000 jobs in France. However, according to experts, the government will face the difficulty of adapting this new list to fluctuations in supply and demand in the labor market in France.

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Bank stocks saddled the CAC 40

July 12, 2011 - 12:16 pm Comments Off

While Wall Street ended the session and declined Friday Asian stock markets see red on Monday morning, the CAC 40 continues its decline on Monday. Halfway through, he gave up 1.44% to 3858.11 points. The session will be marked by the expectation of the beginning of earnings season in the United States, with the aluminum giant Alcoa, which must publish its figures after the close of Wall Street. Investors are also nervous until the advances of another meeting of central bankers in the euro area held Monday in Brussels.

Van Rompuy, Barroso and Trichet, heads of three major European institutions – the Council, the Commission and the Central Bank – in fact, find themselves on Monday to spur the seventeen countries of the euro, still unable to agree of mounting a second rescue plan for Greece.Then the seventeen ministers of finance are again struggling in the afternoon of the participation of private creditors (banks, insurers and pension funds) to finance the 110 billion euros expected by Athens. In addition, concerns are doing now in Italy. Friday, the country has seen its returns soar. Rumors about a possible resignation of Finance Minister Giulio Tremonti, would have triggered the movement.

These concerns continue to weigh on the euro, which widened its losses against the greenback on Monday. Around 11:00 in Paris, the single European currency was worth 1.4123 dollars against 1.4258 dollars on Friday night, falling to levels seen for two weeks.

The macroeconomic situation across the Atlantic does not reassure the markets more. The United States are also penalized by a debt record. Barack Obama finds MPs on Monday.He said Sunday night, before a meeting with key members of Congress, he "must" that Congress reached agreement on the debt within 10 days. Otherwise, the U.S. could default on August 2.

Chapter macroeconomics, INSEE released the figure in industrial production in France for the month of May Over the period, and after two months of decline, it bounced 2%, against 0.5% expected by the consensus.

Car values ​​down sharply, despite the results of Renault and for values, the release this morning (tomorrow ahead of Peugeot-3, 74% to 30.09 euros) business results Renault (-2.17% to 38.35 euros) was not at all convinced investors. Carlos Tavares went to the site of Flins Monday.The automaker has announced an increase of 1.9% of its global sales in the first half, the strength of demand abroad offsetting supply problems it encounters in Europe. The group also expressed its willingness to establish a new sales record this year by selling more than 2.6 million vehicles due to its growth internationally and despite the poor performance in Europe in the first half, he said Monday.

The financial sector ailing

The financial sector is in bad shape, still weighed down by the debt crisis in Europe. Mid-session, BNP loses 3.92% to 47.87 euros, Axa, plunges 4.69% to 14.53 euros, Crédit Agricole ceded 3.05 9.18% to 3.88 euros and Societe Generale to 37.03 euros.

Air France (-1.37% to 10.06 euros) will propose October 13 routes from Marseille to France, Europe and the Mediterranean from 50 euros one way, a way, she says, to launch an "offensive" against the low cost.

Moreover, the energy values ​​react more weakly to kick off the giant tender (about 10 billion) government on the construction of an offshore wind farm with a capacity of production of 3000 megawatts.

Several candidates have already expressed: the consortium GDF Su ez (-0.84% ​​to 24.08 euros), Areva (-0.81% to 24.50 euros) and Vinci (-0.92% to 41.98 euros), another consortium Areva and combining the Spanish giant Iberdrola, EDF EN and all (-0.01% to 39.67 euros), Alstom (-1.2% to 40.76 euros ) and Dong Energy.E. ON and EDP-R have also responded to the tender.

Total (-1.09% to 39.53 euros) could write off some tax benefits. Following the controversy triggered by the imposition of any large groups of the CAC 40, Total could give up to enjoy the tax shelter known as "worldwide profits." The CEO also announced that he would pass to the pump the recent increases in crude oil prices.

Mergers in the telecoms

Bouygues Telecom, a subsidiary of Bouygues (-0.85% to 28.63 euros). The smallest of the three French mobile operators own their own network announced Monday the signing of a framework agreement with Spain's Telefonica, which will allow it to benefit from the infrastructure and the size of its new partner.For its part, rival France Telecom (-0.63% to 14.17 euros) was approached by the television channel in Qatar, Al-Jazeera, for the redemption of Orange Sport. Discussions are in progress.

Sanofi (-0.94%, to 55 euros). The laboratory has sold its dermatology at Dermik Valeant Canada for $ 425 million (300 million) to focus on its platform for growth in the United States and Canada.

Airbus, a subsidiary of EADS (-0.15% to 23.16 euros), would be willing to sell out to rival Boeing. The European aircraft manufacturer could make significant price reductions to crop market share with its U.S. rival in the U.S., in connection with the tender launched by American Airlines, says the Wall Street Journal. The U.S. airline expects to order 250 aircraft.

On the other hand airlines could face a strike in early August.The union of airline pilots SNPL filed a strike notice for all French airlines from August 5 to 8, written Tribunedans his edition of Monday.

Ipsos (-0.06% to 32.76 euros) could be thwarted in his plans to return to UK Synovate. In fact, the British investment fund would be willing to put 675 million euros for the acquisition of Synovate, the tamping pin to French Ipsos already in discussions with the company for market research, according to information from the Financial Times. The Aegis Group, which owns Synovate, however, have rejected the offer.

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Pixmania combined with Carrefour to boost online sales

July 1, 2011 - 10:52 pm Comments Off

Carrefour is a step forward to catch up on e-commerce. The group signed an agreement with Pixmania to develop a site selling non-food products in several European countries. Pixmania will be responsible, through its subsidiary e-merchant, to develop the site of the distributor. Some, or perhaps the entire catalog of Pixmania, which sells "everything" according to its CEO, but mainly electronic products, will also be sold under the Carrefour brand and sold in stores in the group.

If both partners remain discreet about the financial terms of the transaction, the aim is to bridge the gap of the distributor, outpaced by the site e-Commerce Casino, Cdiscount, the site recorded 6.8 million visitors Unique in France in May, according Médimétrie / NetRatings.At the same time, there were 7 guaranteed unsecured personal loan.4 million in Cdiscount and the two leading general commercial sites, Amazon and PriceMinister 8.9 and 7.8 million respectively.

"This new partnership is a major step in the development of Carrefour's multi-channel strategy," said Lars Olofsson, CEO of Carrefour, said in a statement. Jean-Emile Rosenblum, vice president and cofounder of Pixmania, the site of Carrefour should quickly catch up with the "technology platform and logistics products" of his group of e-commerce. "There are huge market share to conquer the Internet and that have in the physical world," he adds, citing for example the articles bazaar and sale of televisions.

More notoriety for Pixmania

Steve and Jean-Emile Rosenblum, founders of Pixmania. DR.

Whit Monday: The majority of employees stay home

June 12, 2011 - 9:28 am Comments Off

Schools, colleges, high schools, universities, governments and businesses will be closed ultramajorité Monday. Not because of a strike call would be strongly followed, but due to the National Solidarity Day, established in 2004 – through the elimination of the holiday falling on Whit Monday – by Jean-Pierre Raffarin.

The working day "offered" by the employees was instituted after the heatwave of summer 2003, which caused the deaths of 15,000 elderly and highlighted the extreme isolation of some people. Employers were free to set the terms of agreement by company or branch.The idea is to offset a new tax of 0.3% on the payroll who also hit the capital income and wealth.

Most of the time, a day of paid leave or RTT was sacrificed in exchange for work on Whit Monday.Some companies might choose to "dicked" day of extra work and free: in two half days without a student in Education or seven hours spread over the year at the station.

13 billion in seven years

Before the general disorganization – nobody knew when the Day of Solidarity was falling – and many recriminations trade unions, associations or religious, the Fillon government decided in 2008 to remake the Whit Monday public holiday and therefore not working no fax payday loans.

Since its inception seven years ago, the Day of Solidarity has reported 13 billion collected from public and private employers by the National Solidarity Fund for Autonomy.The annual levy – which will yield 2.31 billion in 2011 – is intended to cover devices cons dependency: Standard ABS and PCH allowances, retirement homes and special schools … It has 60% elderly and 40% for people disabilities.

To finance the care of elderly dependency, it is suggested to establish a new day of solidarity that would yield, according to Roselyne Bachelot, 2 billion more. Others still offer to extend the base's contribution to the professions and retirees who are currently excluded.

The reduction of the ISF adopted

June 10, 2011 - 8:44 pm Comments Off

The vote was taken freehand. The National Assembly on Friday passed the relief measures of the solidarity tax on wealth (ISF) contained in Section 1 of the supplementary budget (supplementary budget Ed.) 2011qui door for the tax reform Heritage .

Threshold at 1.3 million euros

This article provides for the abolition of the first tax bracket to the ISF by raising the entry threshold of 800,000 to 1.3 million euros of assets. This measure should allow taxpayers to exempt 300,000, which corresponds, according to the government, owners of a principal residence whose value has soared because of the explosion in property prices in recent years.

Two rates of 0.25% and 0.5%

Section 1 provides further reduce the progressivity of the ISF. The schedule now has six units which techniques are applied six rates ranging from 0.55% to 1.80%.If the text is finally adopted by the Assembly and the Senate, it restr only two tax brackets: 0.25% for those whose assets do not exceed 3 million euros and 0.5% where the estate is greater.

This Friday, the resumption of debate, an amendment allowing a small reduction in ISF extra part dependent children has been strongly denounced by the left. In detail, the amendment of the rapporteur Gilles Carrez UMP plans to "increase the amount of reduction for each dependent from 150 euros to 300 euros, including adult children who are studying business card. "Interesting," said Budget Minister Francois Baroin, who relied on the "wisdom" of the Assembly. "You have no shame.It's outrageous, "launched the PS deputy Christian Eckert, denouncing" 150 euros reduction for people whose assets exceed $ 1.5 million, even though the school year allowance is granted conditionally for income below 23,000 Euros.

On June 14 the Senate

The reduction of the ISF is the corollary of the abolition of the tax shield, a key measure of quinquénat adopted in 2007 which provided for the tax cap to 50% of revenues.The fate of the latter, under section 13 of the supplementary budget will be sealed within hours or days ahead, examining the text to run until Tuesday, June 14, the date set for the formal vote and Transmission of the Senate.

(With agencies)

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